Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37c89fc5cb92c5ad0713a32a49a9a6cfcb95606412a24d496b9512cd4592854c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Learner Tienof Learner Tien, Sebastian Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sebastian Baez | 11c | 60,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Learner Tien | 80c | 20,614$16,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.88 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…1f9cbacked Sebastian Baez | 13c | 7,864$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Learner Tien | 76c | 7,478$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.69 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Sebastian Baez | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Learner Tien | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 2,607$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.76 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Sebastian Baez | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…7e74backed Learner Tien | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sebastian Baez | 18c | 1,674$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.76 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Sebastian Baez | 24c | 1,563$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Learner Tien | 75c | 1,549$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.36 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 1,357$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.32 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Learner Tien | 75c | 1,340$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.94 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Sebastian Baez | 8c | 1,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sebastian Baez | 15c | 1,320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Baez | 18c | 1,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 1,296$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Learner Tien | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 1,166$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Sebastian Baez | 11c | 1,119$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Sebastian Baez | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Learner Tien | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Learner Tien | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Sebastian Baez | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez | 8c | 973.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Learner Tien | 79c | 910.9$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 909.96$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 350 | 38.3%134 W · 216 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Sebastian Baez | 17c | 904.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Sebastian Baez | 24c | 894.29$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sebastian Baez | 16c | 873.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Sebastian Baez | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Sebastian Baez | 8c | 660$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 600 | 42%252 W · 348 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Learner Tien | 76c | 658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Sebastian Baez | 13c | 583.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Learner Tien | 79c | 536.87$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Learner Tien | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Learner Tien | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Sebastian Baez | 10c | 468.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Sebastian Baez | 14c | 458$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 233 | 60.1%140 W · 93 L | +21.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 44.8%169 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Sebastian Baez | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Sebastian Baez | 11c | 399.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Sebastian Baez | 10c | 371.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 343.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Learner Tien | 77c | 338.16$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 378 | 66.4%251 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Learner Tien | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 321.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Sebastian Baez | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Sebastian Baez | 26c | 311.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeac…bcc1backed Learner Tien | 75c | 303.72$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Learner Tien | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Sebastian Baez | 13c | 299.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,842 | 44.6%822 W · 1,020 L | -15.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Sebastian Baez | 4c | 273.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Sebastian Baez | 20c | 267.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Learner Tien | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 300 | 48.3%145 W · 155 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Baez | 22c | 254$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…5fb9backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Sebastian Baez | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 708 | 21.2%150 W · 558 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Sebastian Baez | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…66f5backed Sebastian Baez | 23c | 234.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sebastian Baez | 16c | 221.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Learner Tien | 74c | 215.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked Sebastian Baez | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Sebastian Baez | 20c | 208$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Sebastian Baez | 26c | 203.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sebastian Baez | 18c | 202.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sebastian Baez | 18c | 202.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Learner Tien | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Learner Tien | 76c | 182.34$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Sebastian Baez | 21c | 180.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 642 | 40.2%258 W · 384 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Sebastian Baez | 26c | 176.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 401 | 36.4%146 W · 255 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sebastian Baez | 24c | 167.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Sebastian Baez | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…91cbbacked Sebastian Baez | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sebastian Baez | 23c | 164.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sebastian Baez | 24c | 163.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…e9abbacked Learner Tien | 79c | 163.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34d…9816backed Sebastian Baez | 20c | 151.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Baez | 22c | 145.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Sebastian Baez | 21c | 145.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Learner Tien | 77c | 143.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 137.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Learner Tien | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Sebastian Baez | 25c | 130.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Learner Tien | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Sebastian Baez | 8c | 128.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 665 | 31.3%208 W · 457 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…9d25backed Learner Tien | 75c | 127$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…0870backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…fad1backed Sebastian Baez | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Learner Tien | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs BaezTien won
- Set 2 Winner: Tien vs BaezTien won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)Tien won
- Tien vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.