Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e252ea2d1a803cdbfe772c33c1d308e1b2e0d9f03703cca27fadb84ea9b2c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Fils, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Lehecka | 45c | 17,215$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,409.09 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fils | 54c | 8,378$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.71 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Fils | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fils | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.05 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fils | 55c | 1,011$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…0446backed Lehecka | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Fils | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Fils | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fils | 56c | 810$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…54c5backed Fils | 56c | 524.18$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…ad9bbacked Fils | 58c | 523.37$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Fils | 39c | 480.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fils | 66c | 455.5$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Lehecka | 50c | 443.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka | 61c | 430$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Fils | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Fils | 37c | 357.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Fils | 55c | 308.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Fils | 53c | 299.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Lehecka | 33c | 220$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Fils | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Fils | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Lehecka | 52c | 194.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fils | 55c | 178$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fils | 55c | 162.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Lehecka | 64c | 108.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Fils | 76c | 101.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Fils | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Fils | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Fils | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fils | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fils | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…9d25backed Fils | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lehecka | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Fils | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Fils | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lehecka | 35c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Fils | 55c | 45.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…1ea7backed Fils | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d25…d222backed Lehecka | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lehecka | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Lehecka | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lehecka | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Lehecka | 60c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs FilsLehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.