Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4137f086774574ef07a3df6ff532452ff77b98bd8d2acf0ab6be5a47293c9c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filsof Fils, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fils | 45c | 12,729$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.26 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Fils | 49c | 10,502$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.97 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Cobolli | 55c | 10,277$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.54 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Cobolli | 51c | 7,755$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.29 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cobolli | 51c | 4,670$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.35 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Fils | 47c | 3,558$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.31 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Fils | 47c | 3,444$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.32 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Cobolli | 53c | 1,829$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.65 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Cobolli | 32c | 1,566$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.66 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Cobolli | 53c | 1,511$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 51c | 980.26$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Fils | 49c | 714.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.49 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Fils | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Cobolli | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cobolli | 51c | 558.43$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Cobolli | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fils | 73c | 519.02$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Fils | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fils | 73c | 490$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Cobolli | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Fils | 48c | 351.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Fils | 49c | 340.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.09 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cobolli | 52c | 330.66$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Fils | 49c | 312.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Cobolli | 55c | 312.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…9d25backed Fils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Fils | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Fils | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Cobolli | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Fils | 48c | 162.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…64f2backed Fils | 50c | 155.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Fils | 48c | 154.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Fils | 73c | 141.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Fils | 49c | 141$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Fils | 48c | 119.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Fils | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Cobolli | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Cobolli | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fils | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Fils | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Cobolli | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Cobolli | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Fils | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Cobolli | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Fils | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Cobolli | 51c | 58.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Cobolli | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fils | 76c | 56.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Cobolli | 55c | 50.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Cobolli | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Fils | 47c | 49.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Fils | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…d183backed Cobolli | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cobolli | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…27f4backed Cobolli | 24c | 46.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fils | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Cobolli | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Fils | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Fils | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Fils | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…be17backed Cobolli | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Cobolli | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Cobolli | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Cobolli | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Fils | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…7ad9backed Fils | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fils | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Cobolli | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Cobolli | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked Cobolli | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Fils | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Fils | 49c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…a128backed Cobolli | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Cobolli | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Cobolli | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FilsYes won
- Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Cobolli vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs FilsFils won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FilsFils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.