Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25809ceb72722ed0a1f731f4a64066f3315350a795f7d242c1c2834f39dd1dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filsof Cobolli, Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cobolli | 33c | 1,756$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.35 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Fils | 65c | 1,478$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.28 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Cobolli | 37c | 1,442$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.62 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Fils | 67c | 1,381$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.89 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fils | 62c | 524.72$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cobolli | 35c | 460.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.31 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fils | 67c | 374.12$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Cobolli | 34c | 324.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 138 | 22.5%31 W · 107 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Cobolli | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Fils | 66c | 147.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Cobolli | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Cobolli | 42c | 114.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Fils | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fils | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cobolli | 31c | 46.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Cobolli | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 708 | 21.2%150 W · 558 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Cobolli | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Cobolli | 31c | 36.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fils | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…7cf3backed Fils | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Fils | 71c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 258 | 63.2%163 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…4b61backed Fils | 68c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Filsthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FilsYes won
- Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Cobolli vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FilsFils won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.