Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c4d9d2ef8c150fac86958e2cbef4f131b9cb47d0fd8b1ba3d5089fba4299e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Shelton, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shelton | 57c | 4,298$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.15 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Faria | 43c | 4,058$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.1 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…9d25backed Shelton | 60c | 789.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Faria | 39c | 599.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Shelton | 33c | 527.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Shelton | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Shelton | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Faria | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Shelton | 58c | 286.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Faria | 45c | 285.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 328 | 41.8%137 W · 191 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Faria | 44c | 266.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Faria | 46c | 259.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Shelton | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Faria | 42c | 177.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Faria | 43c | 176.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Faria | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 377 | 44.8%169 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Shelton | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Shelton | 56c | 127.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Shelton | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Shelton | 58c | 98.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Faria | 44c | 93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shelton | 55c | 88.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Shelton | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Faria | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Shelton | 60c | 83.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Faria | 76c | 79.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Faria | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Faria | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shelton | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shelton | 57c | 34.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Faria | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Faria | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Faria | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Faria | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Shelton | 57c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…4c16backed Shelton | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Shelton | 56c | 24.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Shelton | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime FariaJaime Faria won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs FariaFaria won
- Shelton vs. Faria: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Faria: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.