Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Faria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3863e5f55c7c1d8bb100d3aed9ea5b0d1f613ea9cf2100d381693176aacc31b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Shelton, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Faria | 63c | 2,901$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shelton | 36c | 1,361$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Shelton | 25c | 1,238$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.77 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Shelton | 42c | 519.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Faria | 58c | 519.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shelton | 45c | 460.7$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Shelton | 49c | 388$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Faria | 69c | 384.8$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shelton | 41c | 366.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shelton | 38c | 339.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Faria | 63c | 330.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Faria | 47c | 299.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shelton | 31c | 218.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Shelton | 50c | 215.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Faria | 76c | 208.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Faria | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Shelton | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Faria | 62c | 181.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Faria | 23c | 138$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Shelton | 77c | 138$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shelton | 28c | 137.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Faria | 73c | 136.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Shelton | 43c | 134.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Shelton | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Faria | 62c | 118.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed Faria | 66c | 114.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…82b8backed Shelton | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Faria | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Faria | 66c | 91.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Shelton | 27c | 62.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…d0f9backed Shelton | 72c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Shelton | 41c | 49.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Faria | 64c | 41.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shelton | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Faria | 28c | 36.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…b658backed Faria | 71c | 30.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…e157backed Shelton | 77c | 23.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Fariathis page
- Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime FariaJaime Faria won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)Faria won
- Shelton vs. Faria: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Faria: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.