TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,065,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb85d…8cefbacked Yes10c196,042$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4979…d8cbbacked Yes4c114,154$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,428.730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8527…a716backed Yes5c58,645$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes5c45,555$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.751020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes3c34,827$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes4c20,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.99812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes3c17,287$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.13330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…d4e6backed Yes4c11,385$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c7…81f1backed Yes5c10,008$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924f…134bbacked Yes4c9,196$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes4c8,694$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes4c7,066$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f1…2a34backed Yes5c6,036$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d3…0a4dbacked Yes5c5,670$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes4c5,598$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.53267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c7…c3a5backed Yes5c5,102$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…cb60backed Yes4c4,613$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…866dbacked Yes5c4,482$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9350%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes4c4,406$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.821612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…8000backed Yes4c4,113$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes5c3,506$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c3,291$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.41458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes5c3,000$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-79.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…45a8backed Yes5c2,996$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9aa…0351backed Yes7c2,773$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0db…75debacked Yes5c2,602$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick8cpaid+741.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No24c2,542$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+323.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac99…7a95backed Yes4c2,505$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes3c2,304$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e7…70b9backed Yes4c2,288$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a0…a4f5backed Yes4c2,254$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91d…271ebacked Yes4c2,198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9415…496fbacked Yes6c2,181$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d1…2fffbacked Yes5c2,119$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea0…059ebacked Yes4c2,061$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe943…f556backed Yes5c2,059$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444d…1e68backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5384…e021backed Yes5c1,967$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b1…bcdbbacked Yes4c1,966$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x737f…fbf2backed Yes5c1,960$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65f…bf6fbacked Yes7c1,957$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked No2c1,928$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick2cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f3…e1a6backed Yes5c1,918$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…3c2bbacked Yes5c1,897$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9460%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb28f…2178backed Yes5c1,895$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No13c1,874$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+290.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ce…6d96backed Yes5c1,826$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…8c21backed Yes5c1,728$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.85425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4181…4d96backed Yes5c1,704$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed Yes4c1,659$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.45616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba0…cee3backed Yes5c1,659$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b77…a74fbacked Yes5c1,581$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4983…aa82backed Yes5c1,548$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x053f…5cf6backed Yes5c1,527$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.58911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bc…bc3ebacked Yes6c1,520$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes5c1,499$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes5c1,458$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0990%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351f…42e4backed Yes6c1,458$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c39…f73abacked Yes5c1,435$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.51728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+152.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed Yes4c1,378$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…37a3backed Yes4c1,320$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe020…3455backed Yes8c1,282$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e59…1c46backed Yes10c1,273$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No24c1,264$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.43837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick15cpaid+150.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No13c1,250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+322.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91c4…5214backed Yes4c1,212$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c1,198$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.825817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b7…1911backed Yes4c1,196$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…09eabacked Yes4c1,167$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9445…6b9bbacked Yes5c1,155$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7493…a38fbacked Yes4c1,139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997d…decfbacked Yes4c1,138$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d6…d1d1backed Yes6c1,056$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa793…7de7backed Yes4c1,032$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bb…857cbacked Yes6c1,027$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ea…e62ebacked Yes6c1,013$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…148cbacked Yes5c981.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1737…4e0dbacked Yes5c964$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…983ebacked Yes6c933.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…0a21backed Yes4c933.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086b…b66ebacked Yes7c909.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x535e…3295backed Yes4c905.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…39f4backed Yes7c897.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x092d…e367backed Yes6c893.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962f…e907backed Yes5c870.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes6c854.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc437…8ed6backed Yes6c825.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x074c…c26dbacked Yes4c793.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x705b…a7b9backed Yes5c766.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb453…c257backed Yes5c753.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c8…f06cbacked Yes5c740.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cc…5668backed Yes5c729.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc372…dda1backed Yes5c722$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-80%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…0f9ebacked Yes6c712.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883c…8b12backed Yes6c703.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea0…63e8backed Yes5c699.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc9…1d9ebacked Yes6c692.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No24c676$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.461136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick14cpaid+123.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9d8…65adbacked Yes6c670$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.