Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3410ee5005a2c57f27b03ed41842c532b65e4944bc1effe283bfd44cf028a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $773,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes | 0c | 115,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes | 0c | 71,403$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Yes | 1c | 59,622$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…595bbacked Yes | 1c | 37,175$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…da04backed Yes | 0c | 36,529$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…64f9backed Yes | 1c | 25,081$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f064backed Yes | 2c | 21,545$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 0c | 14,585$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 0c | 14,567$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 1c | 14,346$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 1c | 13,500$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 1c | 12,291$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5a…c90bbacked Yes | 4c | 10,935$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8270backed Yes | 1c | 9,519$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Yes | 1c | 9,428$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…3889backed Yes | 1c | 8,845$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Yes | 0c | 8,141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 2c | 7,438$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…48bfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,910$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,311$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…6cc6backed Yes | 1c | 5,850$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,530$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…3970backed Yes | 2c | 4,658$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…271ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,473$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,032$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 1c | 3,005$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…3f19backed Yes | 2c | 2,779$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b1…bcdbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742b…d9a2backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,487$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,449$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…3455backed Yes | 3c | 2,033$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…928cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,989$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…ec93backed Yes | 1c | 1,923$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,853$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,836$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,763$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 1c | 1,678$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…4d96backed Yes | 1c | 1,631$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Yes | 1c | 1,564$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 2c | 1,502$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 1,448$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…04acbacked Yes | 2c | 1,396$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,278$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…c05abacked Yes | 5c | 1,068$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…d95abacked Yes | 2c | 1,007$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…78babacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…30bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…adc1backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…8b12backed Yes | 2c | 931.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…4487backed Yes | 2c | 837.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…fbf2backed Yes | 2c | 811.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 2c | 757.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…e3a0backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…53ddbacked Yes | 2c | 649.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…6fb3backed Yes | 2c | 646.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12d…8456backed Yes | 2c | 615.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 9c | 607.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…1658backed Yes | 2c | 509.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…5fcdbacked Yes | 3c | 499.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…1306backed Yes | 3c | 496.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa3…538dbacked Yes | 5c | 307.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…d417backed Yes | 9c | 307$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 15c | 268$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…69d3backed Yes | 8c | 266.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…5a54backed Yes | 9c | 159$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…d323backed Yes | 7c | 140.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…e5adbacked Yes | 8c | 138.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked Yes | 9c | 109.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…7270backed Yes | 63c | 45.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 39.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?this page
- Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?Yes won
- Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?No won
- Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?No won
- Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?No won
- Will the fight end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.