TailMyPicks
Market

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$923,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$804,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Yes5c45,555$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.751020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4979…d8cbbacked Yes4c33,000$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…77efbacked Yes7c31,023$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8527…a716backed Yes4c30,779$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes6c29,754$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.2740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Yes5c20,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes4c20,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.99812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes5c11,204$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.16425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes5c10,556$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.781020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c7…81f1backed Yes4c10,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x924f…134bbacked Yes5c9,196$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…64f9backed Yes5c9,187$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-76.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Yes6c8,503$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes4c7,948$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes5c6,698$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc61…ef8abacked Yes6c6,532$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x964f…ca58backed Yes4c5,779$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes6c5,004$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4690%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes3c5,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc9…1d9ebacked Yes6c4,750$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes4c4,600$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.131612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes4c4,511$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.89267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0867…706bbacked Yes5c4,345$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…866dbacked Yes5c4,253$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…8000backed Yes4c4,003$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c3,828$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.14458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…661bbacked Yes6c3,554$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac99…7a95backed Yes6c3,280$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68d…ec12backed Yes7c2,894$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…25dcbacked Yes5c2,549$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes5c2,525$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…3148backed Yes5c2,480$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe943…f556backed Yes4c2,354$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444d…1e68backed Yes4c2,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a0…a4f5backed Yes5c2,106$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e7…70b9backed Yes5c2,094$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997d…decfbacked Yes5c2,081$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea0…059ebacked Yes5c2,061$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed Yes6c2,054$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5384…e021backed Yes5c1,967$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4581…8979backed Yes5c1,913$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes3c1,854$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-77.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed Yes4c1,853$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.821127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa120…8af7backed Yes5c1,804$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Yes6c1,778$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x974f…78f7backed Yes6c1,752$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes6c1,737$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351f…42e4backed Yes5c1,696$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe020…3455backed Yes6c1,659$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d32…c05abacked Yes6c1,611$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes6c1,585$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f3…e1a6backed Yes6c1,579$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes5c1,574$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…3061backed Yes6c1,506$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9638…84c3backed Yes4c1,506$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…fcc7backed Yes5c1,398$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf7…2eb9backed Yes5c1,378$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6750%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…2f1dbacked Yes5c1,303$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36b…576cbacked Yes4c1,264$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c4…5214backed Yes4c1,242$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7493…a38fbacked Yes5c1,237$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes2c1,164$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.813330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…2ca9backed Yes4c1,112$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c1,069$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.935817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf025…928cbacked Yes6c1,065$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c1,060$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.614148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x803a…2e6dbacked Yes4c1,047$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…89c3backed Yes4c1,026$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes5c1,021$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-49.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes5c1,007$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…acedbacked Yes4c999.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Yes6c999.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes7c972.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes6c947.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd702…019cbacked Yes5c927.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137c…bbf3backed Yes4c919.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe28…4349backed Yes4c903.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+150.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b67…c178backed Yes5c879.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes6c802.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf24…9f41backed Yes4c787.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167c…09f5backed Yes5c785.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes9c765$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.061030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…e0a5backed Yes5c757.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7350%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes4c756.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes7c748.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes6c733.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.042352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes7c715.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0a…bc69backed Yes5c652.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6baf…5434backed Yes5c651.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c8…f06cbacked Yes6c618.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…0a21backed Yes5c614.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c98…899bbacked Yes4c608.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed Yes5c596.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c593.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.34238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x436d…2066backed Yes6c568$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…8cedbacked Yes6c550.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb65f…bf6fbacked Yes4c537.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92e…fa95backed Yes4c518.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cc…5668backed Yes7c510.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0150%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes5c509.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.990%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.