TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, West Virginia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,287 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67f9…d241backed West Virginia6c50,000$3,000 inLost-$2,999.991717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed West Virginia9c2,267$200 inLost-$20013444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed West Virginia6c2,000$120 inLost-$12025629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed West Virginia8c1,800$139 inLost-$138.7534529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked West Virginia6c1,500$90 inLost-$89.9913417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34e…a2c4backed West Virginia7c1,214$85 inLost-$85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked West Virginia7c1,200$84 inLost-$8447131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed West Virginia6c733.86$44 inLost-$44.17642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed West Virginia6c653.89$39 inLost-$39.2328440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked West Virginia6c500$30 inLost-$3042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed West Virginia8c452.5$35 inLost-$351060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed West Virginia7c400$28 inLost-$284822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed West Virginia7c286$20 inLost-$20.0224436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked West Virginia6c235.75$14 inLost-$14.1622030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf4…00fbbacked West Virginia8c218$17 inLost-$17.443917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked West Virginia8c200$16 inLost-$161735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked West Virginia8c139$11 inLost-$11.1218416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed West Virginia8c125$10 inLost-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.