College Football · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-23.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64aba33ef13860f20c0558f919eece99fa4918186f07256d60a5b955b6c1b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, West Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed West Virginia | 48c | 88,699$42,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,592.58 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed West Virginia | 48c | 29,030$13,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,934.4 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 20,800$10,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,074.6 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 10,101$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.61 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed West Virginia | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 6,926$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.26 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 5,282$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed West Virginia | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked West Virginia | 52c | 110.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed West Virginia | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 55.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked West Virginia | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-23.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-21.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-24.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West VirginiaTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia: O/U 52.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.