Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ed74815e747c8a4bde2af861af0415e10a46037af32422582a1e2ce4069e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Dplus KIA | 49c | 7,005$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.45 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Gen.G | 51c | 4,295$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 2,391$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.38 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Gen.G | 50c | 1,961$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.62 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Gen.G | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.13 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA | 47c | 994.65$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.33 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Dplus KIA | 31c | 914$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gen.G | 50c | 818.76$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.38 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Gen.G | 48c | 624.69$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.48 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gen.G | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Dplus KIA | 53c | 551.59$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G | 54c | 520.78$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.56 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Gen.G | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Gen.G | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dplus KIA | 49c | 474.51$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Gen.G | 50c | 408.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Gen.G | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gen.G | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Gen.G | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…33debacked Gen.G | 69c | 234.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA | 47c | 190.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Gen.G | 69c | 138$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Gen.G | 70c | 124.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Gen.G | 53c | 103.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Gen.G | 47c | 99.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Gen.G | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 70.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Dplus KIA | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Gen.G | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Gen.G | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Gen.G | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Gen.G | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Gen.G | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageGen.G won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.