TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5084…40a4backed JD Gaming39c592.37$228 inLost-$228.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdacd…a083backed Weibo Gaming62c464.93$288 inWon+$176.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Weibo Gaming61c388.81$237 inWon+$151.6420348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4bd…06d4backed JD Gaming38c263.16$100 inLost-$1002420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming63c119$75 inWon+$43.942,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Weibo Gaming63c98$62 inWon+$36.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Weibo Gaming63c82$52 inWon+$30.34875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked JD Gaming38c78.95$30 inLost-$307862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weibo Gaming62c70.95$44 inWon+$26.961,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0b…be09backed JD Gaming37c54.05$20 inLost-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffa6…c296backed JD Gaming38c52.63$20 inLost-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Weibo Gaming63c48$30 inWon+$17.767100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Weibo Gaming63c41$26 inWon+$15.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Weibo Gaming63c39.34$25 inWon+$14.561,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Weibo Gaming67c37.5$25 inWon+$12.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Weibo Gaming63c32$20 inWon+$11.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.