Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3186a2cd38f45b5058a0540c88ec66f8b036f7b9644cda0b5ddc03c9c9188fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Over | 46c | 1,945$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Under | 54c | 1,945$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 52c | 620$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 50c | 401.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 49c | 282$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 181.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 50c | 102.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under | 68c | 90.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 59c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 40c | 50.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Under | 50c | 43.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…2e20backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 37c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 51c | 35.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…9198backed Under | 67c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…2eb5backed Under | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.