Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e04a35608ab90ac7c3cd018810367f476649ac13624c5a6b606f12158edeed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Anyone's Legend, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Anyone's Legend | 58c | 19,977$11,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,586.43 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Top Esports | 42c | 10,230$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.72 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Top Esports | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Anyone's Legend | 57c | 5,611$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.27 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Top Esports | 43c | 4,987$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.09 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Top Esports | 43c | 1,468$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.15 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Anyone's Legend | 62c | 887.29$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.02 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Top Esports | 38c | 860.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Anyone's Legend | 57c | 534.98$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Top Esports | 44c | 252.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports | 43c | 250$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Top Esports | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Anyone's Legend | 60c | 236.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Top Esports | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Anyone's Legend | 55c | 209.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Anyone's Legend | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Top Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Anyone's Legend | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Anyone's Legend | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Anyone's Legend | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Anyone's Legend | 56c | 120.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Top Esports | 41c | 116.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Anyone's Legend | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Anyone's Legend | 63c | 60.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Anyone's Legend | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9898backed Anyone's Legend | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Top Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Top Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Anyone's Legend | 58c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.