TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Top Esports, Anyone's Legend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d36…68fdbacked Top Esports50c14,873$7,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,442.7825751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Top Esports26c10,400$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,691.9921448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…bf47backed Anyone's Legend2c10,147$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008551.8%44 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Anyone's Legend73c10,127$7,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,412.511,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Anyone's Legend69c8,845$6,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,144.6720354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Anyone's Legend1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.22072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Anyone's Legend75c6,970$5,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.3910653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Top Esports31c6,585$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,528.8610048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Anyone's Legend67c5,003$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.2613345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Top Esports27c4,788$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.2421137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Anyone's Legend66c4,435$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.582,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Anyone's Legend4c4,000$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6718520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Top Esports26c3,979$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.3248448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Top Esports39c3,710$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.791,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Anyone's Legend67c3,042$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.391,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Top Esports24c3,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.9924147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76f…8536backed Top Esports59c2,467$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.283138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Anyone's Legend49c2,430$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.2242050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Anyone's Legend1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Top Esports26c2,022$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.3317826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Top Esports27c2,018$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.6340435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Anyone's Legend16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32031435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Top Esports47c2,000$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.9919839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Anyone's Legend73c1,700$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2411,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Top Esports38c1,669$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.281,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Top Esports31c1,636$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.941,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0f…dcb0backed Anyone's Legend3c1,500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355b…a497backed Anyone's Legend74c1,362$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.96862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Anyone's Legend67c1,300$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86818961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Anyone's Legend14c1,300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18318914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Top Esports15c1,279$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7825038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Anyone's Legend73c1,270$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92734250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports56c1,231$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.381,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Anyone's Legend72c1,221$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.791,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d35…0b94backed Top Esports41c1,137$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.132556%14 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Anyone's Legend55c1,100$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9150547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Anyone's Legend70c1,026$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Top Esports25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75075942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6686…7fcdbacked Top Esports27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+66.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf144…1edebacked Anyone's Legend72c999.97$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de1…c735backed Anyone's Legend75c985.92$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.164748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Anyone's Legend49c961.97$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.082,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Anyone's Legend3c941.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2366116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed Anyone's Legend2c935$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.720621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Top Esports47c857.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8295847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Anyone's Legend64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Anyone's Legend35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Top Esports10c772.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.9513444.8%60 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Top Esports26c770.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.3711440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Anyone's Legend75c770.35$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9625560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…2c0ebacked Top Esports20c700$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.675927.1%16 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Anyone's Legend75c686.27$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.770162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked Anyone's Legend74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007460.8%45 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports26c668.87$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.961,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…12d0backed Top Esports10c665.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.341421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+102.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd0…5746backed Anyone's Legend50c639.96$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…49a0backed Top Esports26c639.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.491030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Anyone's Legend4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Top Esports28c601$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6918741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Anyone's Legend68c600$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40640347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Anyone's Legend55c599.95$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9742148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Anyone's Legend45c575.52$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.991,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Anyone's Legend62c550$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4522250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Anyone's Legend75c500.2$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.1567549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…fc02backed Anyone's Legend5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed Top Esports54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7416660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f0…299bbacked Anyone's Legend76c499.99$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Top Esports26c499.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9946033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Anyone's Legend21c476$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9623915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0947…c1c9backed Top Esports49c463$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.774486.4%38 W · 6 L+13.4wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+45.1%equal weight72+0.19 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed Anyone's Legend74c457.2$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.446656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Top Esports55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.521754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Anyone's Legend73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e4…8672backed Anyone's Legend35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.535538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Top Esports28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Top Esports45c368.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.315854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Anyone's Legend61c359.04$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.512,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Top Esports27c356.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4343640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Anyone's Legend59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Anyone's Legend72c325.73$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Top Esports25c301.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.881,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Top Esports10c300$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27156317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Anyone's Legend5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3672…82d3backed Anyone's Legend75c293.51$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.133729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Top Esports36c280.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9775342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a6…9a77backed Anyone's Legend15c262.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Top Esports17c223.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.091,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c09…e714backed Top Esports45c221.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.37950.6%40 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Anyone's Legend47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Anyone's Legend73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14628240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fa…2220backed Anyone's Legend5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked Anyone's Legend20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Anyone's Legend73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14624648.4%119 W · 127 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Top Esports56c198.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.297852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Anyone's Legend63c196.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Anyone's Legend70c193.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Top Esports28c188$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3610243.1%44 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Anyone's Legend7c187.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Top Esports55c183.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4331855.7%177 W · 141 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.