Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b60c877ba2ec08c6fc392380b17daab5fcb2b3852b21d7e795f965043aa9562

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Utah Utesof BYU Cougars, Utah Utes
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $792,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $793,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,558 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Utah Utes	48c	752,831$361,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391,815.81	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked BYU Cougars	52c	350,000$182,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182,000	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+15.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked BYU Cougars	52c	150,000$78,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,000	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed BYU Cougars	52c	140,000$72,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,800	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed BYU Cougars	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,600	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked BYU Cougars	53c	28,896$15,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,315	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Utah Utes	48c	25,604$12,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,189.56	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BYU Cougars	52c	17,500$9,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,100	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacd…a083backed BYU Cougars	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed BYU Cougars	51c	8,810$4,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,493.1	746	49.2%367 W · 379 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Utah Utes	47c	8,000$3,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,240	285	39.6%113 W · 172 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BYU Cougars	52c	6,433$3,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,347.94	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars	51c	6,088$3,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,135.1	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked BYU Cougars	53c	5,250$2,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,782.5	169	54.4%92 W · 77 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed BYU Cougars	53c	5,226$2,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769.63	841	47.4%399 W · 442 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed BYU Cougars	52c	4,593$2,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,388.36	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed BYU Cougars	53c	3,770$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,998.1	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed BYU Cougars	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars	51c	2,820$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.11	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars	50c	2,325$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.14	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked BYU Cougars	52c	2,181$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.86	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked BYU Cougars	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	141	50.4%71 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed BYU Cougars	51c	1,300$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Utah Utes	47c	1,064$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.83	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked BYU Cougars	54c	740.74$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	255	56.1%143 W · 112 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked BYU Cougars	54c	663.43$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.25	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed BYU Cougars	52c	576$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.52	1,074	47%505 W · 569 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed BYU Cougars	52c	500$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	152	50%76 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed BYU Cougars	54c	463.06$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed BYU Cougars	54c	433.33$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked BYU Cougars	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	270	45.2%122 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed BYU Cougars	52c	302.04$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.04	267	40.8%109 W · 158 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed BYU Cougars	53c	237.26$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.75	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked BYU Cougars	54c	231.48$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed BYU Cougars	52c	211.54$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed BYU Cougars	51c	203.52$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.8	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked BYU Cougars	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed BYU Cougars	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	200	46.5%93 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed BYU Cougars	53c	192.74$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.15	210	50%105 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed BYU Cougars	52c	192.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed BYU Cougars	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars	52c	182.65$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.98	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed BYU Cougars	51c	176.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.88	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked BYU Cougars	54c	160$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed BYU Cougars	53c	158.07$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Utah Utes	49c	128.65$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed BYU Cougars	51c	118.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked BYU Cougars	19c	113.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	+14.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked BYU Cougars	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed BYU Cougars	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Utah Utes	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked BYU Cougars	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed BYU Cougars	53c	90.84$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.15	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked BYU Cougars	53c	81$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	1,124	46.4%521 W · 603 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed BYU Cougars	53c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Utah Utes	47c	78$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.34	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed BYU Cougars	53c	71.84$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.08	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed BYU Cougars	52c	71.44$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.46	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Utah Utes	47c	70$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2843…9c15backed BYU Cougars	54c	65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed BYU Cougars	52c	48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed BYU Cougars	54c	44.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Utah Utes	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	40cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Utah Utes	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	307	46.3%142 W · 165 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked BYU Cougars	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	60%75 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed BYU Cougars	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	53cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked BYU Cougars	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9899…a7f5backed BYU Cougars	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed BYU Cougars	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	217	46.1%100 W · 117 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked BYU Cougars	53c	33.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	53cpaid	+60%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked BYU Cougars	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+6.2wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed BYU Cougars	54c	29.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed BYU Cougars	51c	28.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed BYU Cougars	54c	28.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed BYU Cougars	52c	26.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	213	42.3%90 W · 123 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed BYU Cougars	54c	25.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	155	59.4%92 W · 63 L	+15.8wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed BYU Cougars	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked BYU Cougars	52c	21.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	104	58.7%61 W · 43 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed BYU Cougars	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	104	64.4%67 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c8…6354backed BYU Cougars	53c	18.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)this page
BYU Cougars vs. Utah UtesBYU Cougars won
BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes: O/U 165.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event