NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c75d578a514ba66214da7e710f16708fec1627818430229c11d0de8d1087a3

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Pelicans, Bulls
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $340,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $341,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls	56c	207,819$116,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91,024.66	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans	43c	127,645$55,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,463.69	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Pelicans	44c	80,000$35,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,199.99	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Pelicans	45c	67,658$30,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,445.97	170	31.8%54 W · 116 L	-24.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls	55c	25,447$14,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,386.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Pelicans	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls	56c	8,902$4,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,916.88	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls	55c	7,740$4,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,478.74	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls	56c	6,760$3,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,965.4	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls	56c	6,000$3,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,670	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans	50c	5,853$2,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,920.42	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Bulls	52c	4,274$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,051.37	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls	52c	3,754$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,820.04	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans	46c	3,458$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Bulls	51c	3,283$1,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.65	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Bulls	55c	2,656$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,195.34	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans	44c	2,648$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.79	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af4…ed6bbacked Pelicans	43c	2,535$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bulls	56c	2,221$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.54	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pelicans	44c	2,039$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.16	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Bulls	56c	1,981$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.53	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pelicans	46c	1,743$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.78	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Bulls	50c	1,511$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.5	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Bulls	68c	1,479$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.79	70	64.3%45 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Bulls	56c	1,362$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.46	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans	47c	1,314$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.96	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Pelicans	44c	1,288$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.72	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bulls	52c	1,260$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.8	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3155…268ebacked Pelicans	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Pelicans	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Pelicans	44c	460.98$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.83	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans	20c	384.55$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.91	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Pelicans	41c	372.34$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.02	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Pelicans	44c	340.91$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Bulls	58c	332.76$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.76	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bulls	55c	309.09$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.09	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans	48c	273.01$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.54	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Pelicans	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3901…41b5backed Pelicans	43c	186.04$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.4wins	+0.20per pick	48cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans	48c	171.93$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.82	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Bulls	57c	170.18$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.18	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x390c…e88ebacked Bulls	57c	168.74$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.56	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Bulls	57c	161.95$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.95	250	58.4%146 W · 104 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52dd…95ccbacked Pelicans	43c	155.02$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans	46c	154.22$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.54	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Bulls	51c	152.94$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.94	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60aa…fab0backed Pelicans	44c	140.91$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Bulls	55c	117$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.65	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Bulls	61c	114.92$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.92	250	56.8%142 W · 108 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…8235backed Pelicans	33c	110$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Bulls	57c	102.18$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.94	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Bulls	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Pelicans	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5256…24a5backed Bulls	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Pelicans	46c	93.48$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Pelicans	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	337	30.3%102 W · 235 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9b…d8afbacked Bulls	54c	90.63$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.69	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Bulls	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Bulls	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Bulls	56c	75.05$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Pelicans	47c	70$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	210	56.2%118 W · 92 L	+10.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls	67c	69.91$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.74	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Bulls	58c	65.91$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.91	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Pelicans	44c	65.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bulls	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pelicans	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a8…753bbacked Bulls	57c	48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Pelicans	45c	46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa714…bf2cbacked Pelicans	43c	45.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Pelicans	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Pelicans	45c	44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Bulls	58c	42.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…19debacked Pelicans	47c	42.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.5wins	-0.24per pick	50cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf8c2…3e7dbacked Pelicans	46c	42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Bulls	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Bulls	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	33	75.8%25 W · 8 L	+7.9wins	+0.24per pick	52cpaid	+48%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x63c6…0cc9backed Pelicans	32c	37.72$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdb…512cbacked Bulls	56c	37.47$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.49	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Bulls	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Pelicans	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Pelicans	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	242	53.3%129 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Bulls	55c	33.25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.96	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.36	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Bulls	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Bulls	56c	29.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.17	51	68.6%35 W · 16 L	+8.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x17e9…d882backed Bulls	55c	29.29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.18	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+5.3wins	+0.36per pick	51cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls	57c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls	45c	29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bulls	63c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Bulls	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Bulls	57c	24.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Bulls	53c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.31	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aec…08c0backed Pelicans	44c	22.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Bulls	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)this page
Pelicans vs. BullsBulls won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Over won
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event