NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d683e1bd939b0fc0bbdc7d6bdfe37e1a624a8aaaec67f5e15220c50677cad5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 8,201$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.48 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 55c | 4,766$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.74 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 45c | 2,855$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.64 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 44c | 1,503$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.13 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 899$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 52c | 864$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Under | 49c | 810.2$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 783.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.27 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 674.42$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 584.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 501.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 42c | 465.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 308$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 43c | 196.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Over | 63c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 37c | 46.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 38c | 40.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5this page
- Pelicans vs. BullsBulls won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.