NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12ad9e7bb8d5935f0d5a98583f23bb5b8e1eeb2ef666903f9c9ae9d88749579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 49c | 64,233$31,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,547.45 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 50c | 26,133$13,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,132.85 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 20,319$9,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,391.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 16,416$8,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,988.78 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 51c | 12,345$6,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,295.95 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 7,687$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.37 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Under | 51c | 6,869$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.39 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 48c | 4,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,485$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 2,543$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 53c | 1,600$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.72 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.33 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Over | 53c | 1,224$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.43 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 1,121$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 815.67$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 771.72$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 761$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 657.95$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.82 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 286$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 190.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 158.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 51c | 153.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0193backed Under | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…a23cbacked Under | 50c | 100.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…df0abacked Under | 48c | 83.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 48c | 60.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…8235backed Over | 58c | 47.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 45.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 49c | 43.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…d6cabacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 50c | 40.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5this page
- Pelicans vs. BullsBulls won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.