NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7616e83f48263bfc9789fcb8ee3058ba6d6768696549651dd6b1ae4d73cfe9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 44c | 67,000$29,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,479.98 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 34,196$19,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,103.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 56c | 15,126$8,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.46 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 9,141$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 56c | 7,239$4,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.2 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 5,532$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 2,005$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 1,971$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 1,361$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.63 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,182$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 308.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 297.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 52c | 280.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 169.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 100.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 33c | 85.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 27c | 83.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 50c | 80.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 71.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 59c | 67.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 61c | 53.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 66c | 46.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 56c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 59c | 24.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5this page
- Pelicans vs. BullsBulls won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 249.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.