Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedec8901745374835e492f30b1e74356688966fd26667cef15342778f1b4aa51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Kukuys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked REKONIX | 57c | 5,595$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.14 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Kukuys | 44c | 4,389$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Kukuys | 68c | 3,225$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.57 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed REKONIX | 48c | 3,182$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.97 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 967.43$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.06 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Kukuys | 52c | 919.1$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.73 | 467 | 64.2%300 W · 167 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked REKONIX | 58c | 872$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 36c | 791.91$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.51 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Kukuys | 42c | 760$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed REKONIX | 54c | 614.85$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Kukuys | 48c | 519.84$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 582 | 55.5%323 W · 259 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked REKONIX | 60c | 500$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Kukuys | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Kukuys | 3c | 433.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Kukuys | 24c | 415.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Kukuys | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Kukuys | 47c | 375.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed REKONIX | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Kukuys | 61c | 260.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Kukuys | 40c | 189.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 495 | 49.5%245 W · 250 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Kukuys | 41c | 166.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Kukuys | 45c | 122.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked REKONIX | 58c | 103.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Kukuys | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…9f17backed Kukuys | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…7608backed Kukuys | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5f13backed REKONIX | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kukuys | 28c | 80.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 334 | 6.6%22 W · 312 L | -104.1wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Kukuys | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…c858backed REKONIX | 75c | 74.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kukuys | 54c | 69.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked REKONIX | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 64.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 556 | 51.4%286 W · 270 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Kukuys | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…45aebacked Kukuys | 42c | 54.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked REKONIX | 52c | 52.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…4cddbacked REKONIX | 45c | 44.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 51c | 44.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,919 | 47.6%914 W · 1,005 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Kukuys | 48c | 41.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked REKONIX | 57c | 40.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…87aabacked REKONIX | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed REKONIX | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cf…e8f8backed Kukuys | 48c | 35.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kukuys | 47c | 34.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…6b31backed REKONIX | 61c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked REKONIX | 64c | 31.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Kukuys | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…9160backed Kukuys | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked Kukuys | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…2b12backed REKONIX | 73c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed REKONIX | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Kukuys | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked REKONIX | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked REKONIX | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked REKONIX | 74c | 13.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 1 WinnerKukuys won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.