Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0644759ae542a05c834596f8f23d99ff1341b604bbeb07397081dacbbcde986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Kukuys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed REKONIX | 50c | 2,580$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Kukuys | 50c | 1,983$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 50c | 940.12$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed REKONIX | 51c | 793.02$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Kukuys | 53c | 551.67$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked REKONIX | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Kukuys | 48c | 462.93$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Kukuys | 50c | 414.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Kukuys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed REKONIX | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked REKONIX | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Kukuys | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked REKONIX | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed REKONIX | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)REKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys - Game 1 WinnerKukuys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.