CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa150fa8ef5d36364dd58f0d198a4d00761dede8a18997acd2688285c62c79808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, WOPA Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9416…5a15backed WOPA Esport | 0c | 9,377$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed WOPA Esport | 1c | 1,850$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed WOPA Esport | 29c | 1,269$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed WOPA Esport | 3c | 974.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed WOPA Esport | 31c | 657.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed WOPA Esport | 18c | 606.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 519$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 486.38$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 268.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 263.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed WOPA Esport | 26c | 260.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…acc9backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 250.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 246.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked WOPA Esport | 15c | 233.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed WOPA Esport | 33c | 209.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked WOPA Esport | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed WOPA Esport | 37c | 143.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 128.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked WOPA Esport | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 66.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed WOPA Esport | 33c | 61.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 57.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked WOPA Esport | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fb…aaacbacked WOPA Esport | 46c | 48.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 44.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 43.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 41.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked WOPA Esport | 32c | 32.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…dbbbbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…90afbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.