TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Marsborne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked NRG51c16,192$8,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,984.923,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Marsborne50c13,067$6,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,528.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NRG62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…4ecebacked Marsborne32c7,931$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Marsborne48c4,485$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.6460540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7406…0992backed NRG68c4,423$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d78…e09ebacked NRG68c3,507$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Marsborne60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80082143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05be…2b45backed Marsborne40c2,028$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.561942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Marsborne57c1,595$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.5622761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Marsborne41c1,579$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.012,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Marsborne35c1,437$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.685644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Marsborne31c1,350$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa037…2b2cbacked NRG69c1,188$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Marsborne29c1,018$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1412150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG61c981.02$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.831,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Marsborne35c933.31$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.094938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed NRG44c917.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.983540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Marsborne38c897$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8615347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed NRG54c836.52$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.4113144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Marsborne50c703$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8433949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed NRG46c577.66$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.646827.9%19 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed NRG59c554.59$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0922554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked NRG50c536.01$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.895145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked NRG54c524.16$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.246045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed NRG67c506.52$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5261638.1%235 W · 381 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Marsborne32c500$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.335,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked NRG50c475$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5536245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Marsborne52c470.62$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0621139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Marsborne61c440.09$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Marsborne62c438.5$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.015028%14 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked NRG34c432.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0860147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Marsborne61c400$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4922358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Marsborne54c382.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5424457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed NRG72c370.23$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7943933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Marsborne53c365.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.456746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Marsborne51c360$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Marsborne27c337.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0711337.2%42 W · 71 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Marsborne39c332.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3214742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Marsborne31c313.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3429855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3559…ee15backed Marsborne34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Marsborne60c297.5$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.56637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marsborne38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed NRG37c244.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1413119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed NRG71c238.03$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.037345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG50c225.36$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed Marsborne32c220.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7119655.1%108 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked NRG47c211.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed NRG49c207.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3638131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Marsborne31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed NRG51c195$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5516847%79 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked NRG22c183.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+358%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d80…7a4bbacked Marsborne63c174.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked Marsborne52c166$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3210446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked NRG33c164.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4222931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b3…c6a5backed NRG50c152.45$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed NRG42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8712752%66 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Marsborne70c144.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.854734%16 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked NRG53c144.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.342941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fb…fe36backed Marsborne54c139.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed NRG41c128$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5912752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marsborne38c124$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1232930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked NRG63c121.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5711750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Marsborne32c120.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked NRG50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Marsborne23c115.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.932711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed NRG45c113$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…d500backed NRG29c104.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+241.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed NRG68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324362.8%27 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefe0…4fafbacked NRG62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed NRG50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2763…b5e4backed NRG45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Marsborne55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5517246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5381…28d1backed Marsborne71c99.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG46c98.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1969863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed NRG71c95.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Marsborne22c93.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.841,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Marsborne18c89.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.135225%13 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+211.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Marsborne29c86.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.645973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed NRG71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c1…ab9bbacked NRG36c82.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed NRG49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Marsborne51c81.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.631,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked NRG48c81.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.462725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed NRG47c80.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Marsborne62c80.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328d…3566backed NRG45c76.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Marsborne34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.614533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed NRG41c73.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Marsborne29c68.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.139843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed NRG50c64.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6618657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed NRG40c62.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8831931.7%101 W · 218 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf03d…2bcfbacked NRG35c60.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked NRG51c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6529…ab39backed Marsborne60c58.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc74f…c23ebacked NRG50c58.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Marsborne44c56.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1930335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed NRG70c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4cff…a948backed Marsborne37c54.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…ffa1backed NRG58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.