CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2ab04d37468931fdd8ec3c5d8aedb6c52fcc6f307dce53ba558eaf3a577b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof DEPO, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Omega | 64c | 6,025$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.17 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Omega | 66c | 4,000$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.5 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked DEPO | 34c | 2,660$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.3 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked DEPO | 36c | 2,200$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.97 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Omega | 68c | 1,787$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.65 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked DEPO | 31c | 1,461$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.83 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed DEPO | 36c | 1,058$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.72 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked DEPO | 32c | 888.13$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omega | 69c | 724.79$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked DEPO | 31c | 700$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed DEPO | 36c | 642.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed DEPO | 33c | 599.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DEPO | 29c | 500.73$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked DEPO | 3c | 489.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Omega | 61c | 473.69$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed DEPO | 31c | 455.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DEPO | 3c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DEPO | 31c | 414$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked DEPO | 39c | 385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed DEPO | 30c | 333.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed DEPO | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…539cbacked DEPO | 30c | 233.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed DEPO | 34c | 226.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed DEPO | 9c | 211.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…4497backed DEPO | 39c | 209.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked DEPO | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked DEPO | 11c | 189$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed DEPO | 36c | 186.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed DEPO | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed DEPO | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed DEPO | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed DEPO | 33c | 152.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed DEPO | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Omega | 79c | 117.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…6514backed Omega | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed DEPO | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked DEPO | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed DEPO | 33c | 93.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed DEPO | 32c | 92.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Omega | 78c | 90.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed DEPO | 28c | 86.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked DEPO | 30c | 78.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Omega | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked DEPO | 40c | 66.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked DEPO | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Omega | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Omega | 69c | 65.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked DEPO | 39c | 61.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed DEPO | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked Omega | 71c | 52.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaf…4b49backed DEPO | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…1d60backed DEPO | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…10cabacked DEPO | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…9146backed Omega | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed DEPO | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…dee4backed Omega | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Omega | 74c | 48.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed DEPO | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Omega | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Omega | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf411…b975backed DEPO | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omega | 78c | 40.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Omega | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Omega | 79c | 35.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed DEPO | 29c | 34.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed DEPO | 36c | 32.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…b42abacked Omega | 75c | 30.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Omega | 78c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b71…d04cbacked Omega | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…11ddbacked Omega | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
- Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.