CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ChickenBurger (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6074a85d99745ca5bc04c09643dbbc79bf020465b3fb5b7774b17d774d7457cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, ChickenBurger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32da…3357backed ChickenBurger | 0c | 15,946$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed megoshort | 75c | 11,253$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.79 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ChickenBurger | 27c | 4,417$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.46 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed ChickenBurger | 35c | 3,678$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.18 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed megoshort | 62c | 2,451$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.33 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ChickenBurger | 29c | 1,500$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ChickenBurger | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked megoshort | 59c | 1,200$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ChickenBurger | 13c | 1,182$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ChickenBurger | 13c | 1,133$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked ChickenBurger | 43c | 590.05$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ChickenBurger | 38c | 581$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked ChickenBurger | 42c | 357.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed ChickenBurger | 18c | 304.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked megoshort | 10c | 229.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked megoshort | 69c | 224.64$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ChickenBurger | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed megoshort | 75c | 163.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed megoshort | 60c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked megoshort | 73c | 123.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed ChickenBurger | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed ChickenBurger | 36c | 102.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked megoshort | 66c | 100.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ChickenBurger | 23c | 90.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…e822backed ChickenBurger | 45c | 89.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…41e9backed megoshort | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa866…be65backed ChickenBurger | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…f914backed megoshort | 58c | 74.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked ChickenBurger | 41c | 65.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ChickenBurger | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked ChickenBurger | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed ChickenBurger | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked megoshort | 66c | 50.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked ChickenBurger | 35c | 46.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked ChickenBurger | 32c | 36.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked ChickenBurger | 36c | 29.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked megoshort | 71c | 28.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked megoshort | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked ChickenBurger | 45c | 24.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879f…f155backed megoshort | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ChickenBurger (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ChickenBurger - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.