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Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, Shrewsbury Town FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9525752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC52c2,885$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.686,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC55c2,884$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.224,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shrewsbury Town FC50c2,827$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.032,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.994829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c1,493$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.089250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC39c1,385$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.622766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+64.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c1,262$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.451,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Shrewsbury Town FC13c1,245$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.079929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC45c1,005$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.641,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c869.67$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.711,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c717$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5414456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c675.01$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5113447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC39c656.39$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.381,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c622.34$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.851,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c247.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Shrewsbury Town FC63c224.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5219357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c210$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c210$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c210$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c168$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6824044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c165$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.335157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c165$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9337958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c124.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c108.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.274656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6274256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Shrewsbury Town FC61c97.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1729259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Shrewsbury Town FC61c95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.726158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.732255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.730554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.725456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.726058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.732656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.728255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed7…eb18backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC38c77.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.32231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Shrewsbury Town FC54c50.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5641760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC42c49.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.49137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Shrewsbury Town FC60c44.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.629346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x390c…e88ebacked Shrewsbury Town FC39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.726959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb055…1b0bbacked Shrewsbury Town FC48c31.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.628458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.626259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.625560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.622858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Shrewsbury Town FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.617456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.