Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87df81027bd5e64a7c9775ce0af71f4c879a8d64ea6f29cbc86dfa5ade0964fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 68c | 8,550$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.18 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 32c | 3,402$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 38c | 2,562$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 71c | 1,620$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 555.5$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 516$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 390.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 338.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 68c | 250$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 34c | 224.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 32c | 209.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 73c | 168$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 32c | 165$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 32c | 165$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 68c | 154.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 68c | 87.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 63c | 78.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.