Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b61f2bc29bcaae9614e81b0f5f913468acde382051ae66edd59eb3551cc4743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Yangon Galacticos, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yangon Galacticos | 66c | 8,361$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 7,408$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 3,627$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yangon Galacticos | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 2,300$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yangon Galacticos | 34c | 1,296$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.49 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 78c | 1,254$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.24 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…a8b6backed Yangon Galacticos | 17c | 964.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 829$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.21 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yangon Galacticos | 41c | 606.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 458.55$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 419.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 402.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yangon Galacticos | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yangon Galacticos | 35c | 188.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 184.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc00f…0f52backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 156.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 104.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yangon Galacticos | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 86.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 56.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Yangon Galacticos | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…568abacked Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5ee8backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 32.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Yangon Galacticos | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yangon Galacticos | 76c | 25.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis (BO3)Team Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.