Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8b0d9e35e284a19c6d2b5a3b1f87cf3cd0a814cf6acae5d54bebd723a995ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Yangon Galacticos, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yangon Galacticos | 1c | 3,845$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 2,182$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.78 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yangon Galacticos | 23c | 1,922$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.42 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 1,567$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 1,354$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 1,058$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 1,014$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.49 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yangon Galacticos | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yangon Galacticos | 11c | 383.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 371.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 23c | 343.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…4adbbacked Yangon Galacticos | 11c | 288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Yangon Galacticos | 20c | 274.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Yangon Galacticos | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 247.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Yangon Galacticos | 17c | 245$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Yangon Galacticos | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yangon Galacticos | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 197.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…73d5backed Yangon Galacticos | 19c | 182$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Yangon Galacticos | 27c | 119.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 115.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…f3f0backed Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 109.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 21c | 88.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…4355backed Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…ac7dbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.