Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b8ae90ca152903f4004eca2c57dfdeaa3946ce58cefa9b44b4e3251ba1c9214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Falcons, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 7,918$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.76 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 49c | 7,402$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.11 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Team Falcons | 56c | 6,017$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Team Falcons | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 39c | 4,929$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.16 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…a8b6backed Team Falcons | 42c | 3,900$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,800$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 3,665$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.58 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed MOUZ | 32c | 3,609$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.75 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 53c | 3,481$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Team Falcons | 15c | 3,384$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,051$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.09 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 63c | 3,003$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.21 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,792$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.65 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,646$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.75 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,585$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,935$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,794$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.32 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 1,789$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 1,787$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.05 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,740$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.7 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,591$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,501$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.04 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,461$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,427$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,296$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.66 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.93 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,249$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,212$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.83 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,147$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.5 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,116$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.31 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,085$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,004$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.97 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 68c | 994.27$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.36 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Falcons | 49c | 984$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.55 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed MOUZ | 60c | 979.86$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.94 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Falcons | 47c | 964.85$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.86 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 57c | 876.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.3 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…caa8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 854.93$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Team Falcons | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 32c | 785$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.8 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 766.7$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 743.57$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ | 51c | 728.95$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.41 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 57c | 675.72$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 28c | 663.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 657.02$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.43 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 43c | 654.08$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked MOUZ | 62c | 645.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 63c | 575.45$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.92 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 61c | 542.77$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.09 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 30c | 525.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 521.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.02 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Team Falcons | 27c | 510.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed MOUZ | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Team Falcons | 64c | 485.76$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed MOUZ | 74c | 482.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 475.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked MOUZ | 58c | 465.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Team Falcons | 14c | 463.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Team Falcons | 45c | 444.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons | 69c | 429.91$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 429.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed MOUZ | 56c | 425.29$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 44c | 406.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.37 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…630dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 389.95$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed MOUZ | 60c | 368.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Team Falcons | 68c | 360.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed MOUZ | 73c | 350$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 29c | 348.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.72 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed MOUZ | 65c | 338.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 26c | 326.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…dbbbbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 304.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 37c | 301.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Falcons | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Falcons | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Team Falcons | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Team Falcons | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed MOUZ | 34c | 288.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed MOUZ | 79c | 278.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 272.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed MOUZ | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked MOUZ | 27c | 250$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed MOUZ | 52c | 233.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked MOUZ | 74c | 227.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Falcons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…9b25backed Team Falcons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 49c | 206$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Team Falcons | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Team Falcons | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Falcons | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…c71ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.