Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40cb388d3458bf3696f568a9691b43dc0e77b3a08210310baca907155505a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof AVULUS, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed 1win | 70c | 2,828$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.99 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked AVULUS | 9c | 2,101$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed 1win | 70c | 1,285$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AVULUS | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed AVULUS | 32c | 784.23$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AVULUS | 30c | 760.04$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…e897backed AVULUS | 33c | 655$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed AVULUS | 28c | 654.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed AVULUS | 33c | 612$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…0c24backed AVULUS | 33c | 610$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked AVULUS | 33c | 606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 12c | 458.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 1win | 75c | 361.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…99d3backed 1win | 72c | 358.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed AVULUS | 19c | 350.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…b7b5backed 1win | 67c | 338$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed AVULUS | 26c | 325.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…124bbacked 1win | 67c | 317$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AVULUS | 20c | 309.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed 1win | 67c | 309$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6c62backed 1win | 67c | 309$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…e76abacked 1win | 67c | 308$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked AVULUS | 24c | 307.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked 1win | 67c | 303$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed 1win | 67c | 301$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked 1win | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…1541backed 1win | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed AVULUS | 11c | 256.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 67c | 255.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AVULUS | 27c | 230.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked AVULUS | 30c | 199.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked AVULUS | 31c | 195.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed AVULUS | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked AVULUS | 30c | 139.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked AVULUS | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 80c | 126.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked AVULUS | 32c | 120.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed AVULUS | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked AVULUS | 21c | 116.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed AVULUS | 23c | 115.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…7584backed 1win | 68c | 106.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed AVULUS | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked AVULUS | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked AVULUS | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed AVULUS | 28c | 89.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed 1win | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed 1win | 72c | 80.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed AVULUS | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed 1win | 55c | 74.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed AVULUS | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed AVULUS | 31c | 71.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed AVULUS | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed 1win | 70c | 69.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed AVULUS | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked AVULUS | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked AVULUS | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…32dcbacked AVULUS | 21c | 56.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…71c1backed AVULUS | 35c | 56.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed 1win | 67c | 55.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed AVULUS | 31c | 54.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed 1win | 66c | 52.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed AVULUS | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…210ebacked 1win | 70c | 45.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked 1win | 73c | 43.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…146ebacked AVULUS | 34c | 40.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked 1win | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…36bcbacked 1win | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed AVULUS | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…bc0dbacked 1win | 73c | 34.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1win | 65c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…078fbacked 1win | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed 1win | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed 1win | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 59 | 78%46 W · 13 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed 1win | 72c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked 1win | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…e61abacked 1win | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…9e56backed 1win | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked 1win | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed 1win | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed 1win | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked 1win | 63c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.