Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7f5909bf8725ae0e81d20b1948b1869c4e0f6a81d9c82728d828c205e7b3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vavassoriof Vavassori, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Collignon | 53c | 4,478$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Vavassori | 47c | 4,259$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.94 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vavassori | 44c | 3,940$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Collignon | 45c | 3,760$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.07 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vavassori | 51c | 2,501$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Collignon | 48c | 2,163$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.91 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Vavassori | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Collignon | 55c | 1,976$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Vavassori | 45c | 1,648$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vavassori | 14c | 1,342$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.11 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Collignon | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Collignon | 39c | 1,200$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Collignon | 55c | 1,035$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.53 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Collignon | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Collignon | 52c | 863.89$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Collignon | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Collignon | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Vavassori | 65c | 753.65$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vavassori | 14c | 724.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.45 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Vavassori | 47c | 712.37$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.22 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Collignon | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Collignon | 55c | 562.66$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Vavassori | 49c | 516.91$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.78 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Collignon | 59c | 511.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Collignon | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Collignon | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Collignon | 55c | 282.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Vavassori | 42c | 265.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Vavassori | 80c | 263$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Vavassori | 50c | 235.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Vavassori | 47c | 222.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vavassori | 47c | 175.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Vavassori | 49c | 172.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vavassori | 56c | 151.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Collignon | 68c | 147.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Vavassori | 46c | 130.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Vavassori | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Collignon | 32c | 113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Vavassori | 44c | 112.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vavassori | 48c | 111.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Vavassori | 51c | 102.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vavassori | 48c | 101.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…e23bbacked Vavassori | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Collignon | 58c | 93.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…15a8backed Collignon | 54c | 88.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Collignon | 58c | 86.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Collignon | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…dfa4backed Collignon | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Vavassori | 49c | 74.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vavassori | 16c | 72.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Collignon | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Vavassori | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Collignon | 53c | 56.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Vavassori | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Vavassori | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…ad71backed Vavassori | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vavassori | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…2171backed Vavassori | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…ece8backed Collignon | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Vavassori | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Vavassori | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Collignon | 52c | 32.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Vavassori | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Vavassori | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Vavassori | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…e88ebacked Vavassori | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…5c1cbacked Collignon | 51c | 22.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Vavassori | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.