NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ed6c8c15cfb6a518944d802ad8a25c5611e7cc83702e0e41576902b2ba024e

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $237,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over	50c	140,991$70,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,897.14	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	49c	58,326$28,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,563.15	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Under	52c	41,953$21,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,143.58	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under	50c	30,650$15,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,325	195	60%117 W · 78 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	11,097$5,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,511.11	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	49c	8,688$4,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,410.86	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under	51c	5,516$2,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,702.8	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	47c	4,189$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.73	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.98	172	50%86 W · 86 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	47c	3,902$1,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.86	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Under	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.58	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under	58c	3,448$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.16	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over	50c	3,004$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.78	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Under	52c	3,000$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.1	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under	52c	2,692$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.31	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	2,375$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.25	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	2,282$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.39	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over	49c	2,000$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.99	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under	50c	1,961$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.2	166	57.2%95 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	52c	1,844$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.76	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under	51c	1,602$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.15	173	44.5%77 W · 96 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Under	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.01	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under	53c	1,284$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.44	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Over	49c	1,195$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.32	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	1,149$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.98	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Over	51c	1,143$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.93	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	46c	1,079$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.59	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	51c	1,032$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.52	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	949.02$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.82	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under	53c	812.53$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.89	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Under	50c	744.16$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.33	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Under	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	191	49.7%95 W · 96 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under	52c	450$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	69c	383.17$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.17	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over	50c	375.05$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.53	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	49c	363.96$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.34	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…a166backed Over	4c	295.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Under	52c	289$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.72	389	42.9%167 W · 222 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Under	52c	275.38$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.18	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x346d…828fbacked Over	11c	236.12$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Under	52c	211.54$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.54	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…1872backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	195.91$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Under	49c	175.94$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.15	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over	49c	171.16$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.27	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Over	52c	148.56$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.25	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Under	56c	141.21$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.54	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd88e…b784backed Under	53c	132$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under	50c	127.72$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.14	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	46c	127.39$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.08	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	49c	125$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.75	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	50c	120.29$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.29	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	58c	120$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2407…7dcabacked Under	52c	119.13$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.47	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	159	59.1%94 W · 65 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under	52c	97.73$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.91	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under	55c	91.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.5	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	156	57.7%90 W · 66 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Under	50c	90.35$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.35	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under	56c	89.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.72	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over	50c	84.6$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Over	44c	80$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	230	58.7%135 W · 95 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1288…dbbbbacked Under	52c	76.09$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.46	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3104…9d81backed Over	47c	68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	47c	67.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcecc…affebacked Under	49c	65.31$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under	69c	63.86$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x389c…0865backed Under	56c	63.04$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.51	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.29per pick	54cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.87	289	43.3%125 W · 164 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf256…a93fbacked Over	35c	54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	51c	50.98$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.41	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db4…9e0abacked Over	49c	47.12$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	56c	42.04$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.37	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	47c	40.41$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Under	52c	38.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0085…77cbbacked Over	50c	31.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	49c	30.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Under	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.2wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x260a…4282backed Under	50c	29.22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5this page
1H Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Kings won
1H Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Kings won
Mavericks vs. KingsMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Kings won
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Kings won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event