TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof Ursa, HEROIC Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff34…694bbacked Ursa59c3,864$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.461,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Ursa36c2,778$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.4534559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed HEROIC Academy1c1,991$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.741190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed HEROIC Academy4c1,800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed HEROIC Academy41c1,421$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7343544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa50c1,372$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.966,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked HEROIC Academy46c999.7$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8635460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Ursa54c951.99$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed HEROIC Academy6c909.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.08120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy38c847$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HEROIC Academy44c835.68$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.531,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed HEROIC Academy61c806.15$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7219351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked HEROIC Academy40c567$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.414971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed HEROIC Academy50c452.55$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.081,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked HEROIC Academy13c443.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.542,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked HEROIC Academy58c431.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.574,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed HEROIC Academy57c428.49$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.565048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed HEROIC Academy51c413.9$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Ursa43c405.61$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3731731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed HEROIC Academy64c400$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.55954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HEROIC Academy35c363$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.653,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed HEROIC Academy45c335.11$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.81,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa56c335$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…e875backed HEROIC Academy45c328.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.911353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Ursa30c324.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.424139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Ursa54c311.93$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.497139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Ursa34c310.45$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.239140.7%37 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed HEROIC Academy43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed HEROIC Academy45c292.98$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0323245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa36c289.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.342,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed Ursa41c280$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked HEROIC Academy35c279.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Ursa53c273.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1362248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HEROIC Academy30c266.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.284,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Ursa75c262.68$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.368758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed HEROIC Academy20c260$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.841436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed HEROIC Academy20c260$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.845240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Ursa62c260$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.86543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked HEROIC Academy20c260$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Ursa62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed HEROIC Academy11c244$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.061,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ursa52c242.3$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.822,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5113…b692backed Ursa44c241.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.763652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked HEROIC Academy62c221.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1368459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed HEROIC Academy38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.812948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked HEROIC Academy48c209.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked HEROIC Academy40c205$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8223038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked HEROIC Academy34c204.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.392,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed HEROIC Academy42c201$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.429736.1%35 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed HEROIC Academy12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed HEROIC Academy48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked HEROIC Academy12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked HEROIC Academy48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9621741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HEROIC Academy33c199.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0362738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked HEROIC Academy20c199$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Ursa72c198$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4411952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Ursa43c192.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HEROIC Academy30c190.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.722,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HEROIC Academy46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa61c169.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.564,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Ursa55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7237949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Ursa33c160$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.233448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HEROIC Academy41c159.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.863,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Ursa48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0817044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked HEROIC Academy74c148.57$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa63c131.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.152,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Ursa59c128.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.168450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed HEROIC Academy12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed HEROIC Academy48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4837339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed HEROIC Academy57c95.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Ursa50c95.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.811,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked HEROIC Academy51c86.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3227549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed HEROIC Academy39c85.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0777146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Ursa44c84.86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.661,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ursa47c82.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.351,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Ursa60c76.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1721351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed HEROIC Academy66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Ursa42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed HEROIC Academy48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.857935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed HEROIC Academy33c51.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.752,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy21c50.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.967,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…25cfbacked HEROIC Academy39c50.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204055%22 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337f…3506backed HEROIC Academy63c50.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.515240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Ursa44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2818233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Ursa75c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.637441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31f…c792backed HEROIC Academy44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b55…e87dbacked Ursa71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed HEROIC Academy46c43.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x120e…6850backed HEROIC Academy59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa41c41.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.312,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed HEROIC Academy49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ursa39c38.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed HEROIC Academy36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.967435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5575…c56dbacked HEROIC Academy59c33.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208460.7%51 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7028…66d1backed HEROIC Academy56c32.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.83953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed HEROIC Academy42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed HEROIC Academy69c29.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6940457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked HEROIC Academy44c28.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.735973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x2455…7559backed Ursa55c27.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.424862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Ursa63c26.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9136174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.