CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0a373145916c5d727ec2da08031b749324029e3bcfebf2fd5383c9fd166a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof Ursa, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Ursa | 62c | 8,773$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.66 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HEROIC Academy | 40c | 4,413$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.84 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 38c | 787$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 571.08$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HEROIC Academy | 42c | 558.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 516.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked HEROIC Academy | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 37c | 472.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.43 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ursa | 58c | 403.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 64c | 400.02$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HEROIC Academy | 41c | 330.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Ursa | 34c | 285.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 250.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HEROIC Academy | 33c | 232.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed HEROIC Academy | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed HEROIC Academy | 74c | 156$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ursa | 28c | 150.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked HEROIC Academy | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ursa | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…4406backed HEROIC Academy | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HEROIC Academy | 40c | 122.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ursa | 56c | 116.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed HEROIC Academy | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Ursa | 23c | 103.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Ursa | 59c | 102.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Ursa | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Ursa | 56c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked HEROIC Academy | 34c | 88.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…bcf2backed Ursa | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Ursa | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed HEROIC Academy | 72c | 61.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HEROIC Academy | 27c | 52.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Ursa | 58c | 52.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ursa | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked HEROIC Academy | 76c | 47.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed HEROIC Academy | 54c | 46.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Ursa | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 35.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed HEROIC Academy | 72c | 34.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ursa | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed HEROIC Academy | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ursa | 59c | 18.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Ursa | 65c | 17.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)HEROIC Academy won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)HEROIC Academy won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)Ursa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)HEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.