TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Pipsqueak+4
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb569…5695backed L1ga Team53c4,199$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.4219047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked L1ga Team71c4,199$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.2641055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Pipsqueak+447c2,572$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20054445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed L1ga Team36c2,000$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Pipsqueak+442c1,962$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1246535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pipsqueak+464c1,338$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed L1ga Team50c1,315$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.173447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked L1ga Team53c1,107$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5216155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Pipsqueak+439c1,084$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.515538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Pipsqueak+444c1,071$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.87846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Pipsqueak+42c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Pipsqueak+460c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.573256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pipsqueak+434c915.04$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4273841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Pipsqueak+44c900$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed L1ga Team58c852.21$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9328341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pipsqueak+458c833.85$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.62,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked L1ga Team44c774.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Pipsqueak+440c748.79$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7633850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked L1ga Team68c740.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.092556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df0…1d17backed L1ga Team71c708.66$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Pipsqueak+469c692.38$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed L1ga Team36c556.46$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4457455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Pipsqueak+433c549.52$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.086854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Pipsqueak+456c539.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked L1ga Team51c500.37$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.017236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Pipsqueak+427c460.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Pipsqueak+446c428.08$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed L1ga Team55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18917342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Pipsqueak+446c405.02$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3beb…77d1backed Pipsqueak+449c404.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Pipsqueak+466c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked L1ga Team34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644351.2%22 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Pipsqueak+444c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17645061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…23f7backed L1ga Team42c396.71$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Pipsqueak+445c391.32$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2810945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Pipsqueak+447c389.57$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.110136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Pipsqueak+460c369.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed L1ga Team66c348.95$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b6…8b85backed Pipsqueak+452c348.08$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791b…029ebacked L1ga Team75c338.7$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.964951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Pipsqueak+417c336.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.34234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Pipsqueak+470c330.01$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc8…f753backed Pipsqueak+453c326.91$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Pipsqueak+449c308.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0212654.8%69 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Pipsqueak+433c304.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked L1ga Team63c303.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1660646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de2…da51backed Pipsqueak+439c256.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked L1ga Team54c254.2$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.238750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed L1ga Team58c251.03$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4312851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+442c246.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed L1ga Team45c241.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6220838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed L1ga Team50c240.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team50c224.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4789440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Pipsqueak+455c209.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.046334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed L1ga Team49c204.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.48349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…10dcbacked Pipsqueak+459c201.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.131770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed L1ga Team53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed Pipsqueak+443c180.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.621957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Pipsqueak+427c175$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2520530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Pipsqueak+432c159.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4614744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pipsqueak+464c154.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4759250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Pipsqueak+439c154.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd0…b94cbacked Pipsqueak+473c137.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Pipsqueak+461c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7914948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Pipsqueak+442c123.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7711845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dff…7974backed Pipsqueak+437c122.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed L1ga Team33c122.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6906…67ecbacked Pipsqueak+423c120.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed L1ga Team50c114.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4534063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Pipsqueak+449c110$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed L1ga Team53c102.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.532653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Pipsqueak+415c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157226.4%19 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed L1ga Team51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Pipsqueak+473c99.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked L1ga Team77c91.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…e822backed Pipsqueak+447c85.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked L1ga Team54c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Pipsqueak+446c80.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Pipsqueak+420c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed L1ga Team50c78.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1211344.2%50 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked L1ga Team61c77.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.131566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed L1ga Team58c75.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.866867.6%46 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x396a…b1d3backed L1ga Team43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee8…eb4cbacked L1ga Team55c69.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb7…951dbacked L1ga Team61c66.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Pipsqueak+425c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked L1ga Team38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Pipsqueak+437c54.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.173286.4%21 W · 307 L-102.4wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x471d…0c2abacked L1ga Team64c53.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.147100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed L1ga Team57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8813657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…d8b7backed Pipsqueak+435c50.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.684367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…a74ebacked L1ga Team77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Pipsqueak+442c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff2…44acbacked L1ga Team52c47.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb96…934fbacked L1ga Team43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.821643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Pipsqueak+447c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Pipsqueak+445c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Pipsqueak+438c39.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22025%5 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked L1ga Team36c39.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.424037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked L1ga Team61c32.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9473554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.