TailMyPicks

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Lol · resolved market

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$708,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$759,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed JD Gaming31c239,810$74,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,341.0827735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Bilibili Gaming69c149,573$103,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,367.623154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming69c121,925$83,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,141.231,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Bilibili Gaming68c64,280$43,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,569.6714247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed JD Gaming29c19,724$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80017729.9%53 W · 124 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked JD Gaming32c19,088$6,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,108.16432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming31c15,475$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.331,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming15c14,384$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.6754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Bilibili Gaming67c13,592$9,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,534.686858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked JD Gaming32c13,160$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.257246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Bilibili Gaming69c13,008$8,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,033.468338.6%32 W · 51 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Bilibili Gaming69c12,100$8,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,76559450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked JD Gaming32c9,572$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.954528.9%13 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed JD Gaming32c9,104$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.5913037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked JD Gaming36c7,771$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.6414327.3%39 W · 104 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed JD Gaming0c6,790$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.93360%0 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Bilibili Gaming68c6,280$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.694468.2%30 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x285d…37c3backed JD Gaming32c6,280$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.693517.1%6 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming20c6,052$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.141,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed JD Gaming32c5,875$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed JD Gaming32c5,614$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.612236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…42b1backed JD Gaming31c5,000$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.355942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2951…a3b1backed JD Gaming14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.99825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked JD Gaming32c4,500$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44030321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked JD Gaming32c4,375$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40022547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked JD Gaming31c4,154$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.6414549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming24c4,000$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.531,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed JD Gaming14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010253.9%55 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed JD Gaming27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0809938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed JD Gaming32c3,662$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.848827.3%24 W · 64 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked JD Gaming31c3,498$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.349541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Bilibili Gaming69c3,363$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.384461.4%27 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked JD Gaming16c3,117$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked JD Gaming31c3,050$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.5759558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed JD Gaming31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9715046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Bilibili Gaming66c2,948$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.2318971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed JD Gaming31c2,906$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.7232234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked JD Gaming10c2,875$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.625420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58de…9169backed JD Gaming15c2,503$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.457944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed JD Gaming32c2,252$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.6231337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Bilibili Gaming70c2,208$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1828253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked JD Gaming32c2,172$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed JD Gaming31c2,132$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.9285836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa866…6ae6backed JD Gaming32c2,005$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Bilibili Gaming69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62011249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed JD Gaming31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e19…9ce5backed Bilibili Gaming68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed Bilibili Gaming68c1,900$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6085853.4%31 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Bilibili Gaming75c1,872$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2550158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8c…4e7abacked Bilibili Gaming69c1,855$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed JD Gaming31c1,700$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5278558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked JD Gaming20c1,700$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4448844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d4…1137backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,678$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc5…e3b9backed JD Gaming32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015659.6%93 W · 63 L-13.1wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked JD Gaming32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed JD Gaming31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4651,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked JD Gaming27c1,473$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0322336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming69c1,470$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.764749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bilibili Gaming68c1,470$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3832941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd54…f9c5backed Bilibili Gaming70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed JD Gaming29c1,427$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.831,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed JD Gaming32c1,390$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.942,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bilibili Gaming67c1,365$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.912,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked JD Gaming32c1,315$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.0653139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked JD Gaming31c1,247$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.557646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0657…3a78backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,235$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.9722256.3%125 W · 97 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed JD Gaming27c1,202$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5912931.8%41 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Bilibili Gaming68c1,200$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.996258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,145$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2416344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed JD Gaming33c1,144$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0130151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed JD Gaming34c1,140$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2327432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed JD Gaming29c1,111$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.191442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked JD Gaming32c1,084$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabbf…ccfabacked JD Gaming10c1,078$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed JD Gaming29c1,062$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.811,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed JD Gaming2c1,058$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1638624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ed…8f55backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,038$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,008$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31020764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed JD Gaming24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Bilibili Gaming69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31018467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed JD Gaming31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed JD Gaming31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Bilibili Gaming67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33034568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Bilibili Gaming66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Bilibili Gaming68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32026360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bilibili Gaming68c999.95$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.981,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee5…7899backed Bilibili Gaming66c999.93$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.98366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed JD Gaming21c990.39$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.481,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…c0eebacked JD Gaming19c967.57$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.877754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked JD Gaming32c955.78$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8524434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed JD Gaming32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked JD Gaming32c911.81$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7850956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked JD Gaming31c900$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2796930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bilibili Gaming68c899.93$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.981,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming23c891.52$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.512,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Bilibili Gaming79c886.7$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.79259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked JD Gaming32c884.88$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.1622757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked JD Gaming29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.