Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2033e10716f33bb77973c5591bdb2f49db6f7a040dd40f907058db4f6620d292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 49c | 3,990$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.71 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 50c | 2,752$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.08 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 77c | 2,000$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.88 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 53c | 953.23$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.91 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 45c | 507.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 136 | 60.3%82 W · 54 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…9980backed Under | 77c | 312$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Under | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 294.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 23c | 224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 23c | 224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Over | 23c | 186$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Over | 23c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 146 | 28.8%42 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Under | 52c | 158$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Over | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Over | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 51c | 44.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eee…e14dbacked Under | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.