Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b323b4bafe6e8ed1179baac97d57c47de61eaa1641cbe87197f5ffa73823628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 3,651$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.65 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 52c | 3,459$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.44 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 1,990$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.29 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 920.15$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.47 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 47c | 838.15$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.93 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 47c | 739.76$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.39 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 47c | 594.44$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.39 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 48c | 507.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 45c | 302.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 55c | 211.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Under | 55c | 163.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 103.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 53c | 93.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9826backed Over | 48c | 77.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 46c | 68.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…5234backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 54c | 30.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 54c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.