Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa2b3db705f035ed81627e4af8a20c0abb4bf60da361ba37c8fba0a0290358e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba42…27d2backed Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 627.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.11 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 47c | 503.64$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 78c | 413.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 401.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Under | 58c | 346.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 313.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 26c | 301.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 38c | 259.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 205.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 56c | 200.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 54c | 183.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 64c | 159.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Under | 58c | 153.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 62c | 134.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 63c | 98.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 14c | 81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 29c | 73.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Over | 56c | 70.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Over | 46c | 70.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 53c | 60.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 44c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Over | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Over | 51c | 38.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 34.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 47c | 33.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 42c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 26.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 45c | 24.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.