TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Spirit, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,251 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked PARIVISION59c123,539$72,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,890.0139249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit41c89,474$36,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,684.2322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit42c7,500$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.9867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit41c5,888$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.8930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION59c5,555$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit42c5,217$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19147047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spirit42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed PARIVISION58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89019455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spirit42c4,485$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68022849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked PARIVISION57c2,963$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.9636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cbf…ac45backed Spirit42c2,728$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+245.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045e…33a6backed Spirit42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked PARIVISION59c2,222$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.029349.5%46 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Spirit41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8207537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Spirit42c1,912$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed PARIVISION57c1,894$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.3926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed PARIVISION57c1,762$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.032254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed PARIVISION58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1429851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6151,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Spirit41c1,400$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57414847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Spirit40c1,327$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.612441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Spirit41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.198751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Spirit42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2238051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Spirit42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit44c1,006$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.375,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed PARIVISION60c1,002$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Spirit42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked PARIVISION59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41014853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Spirit42c930.95$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916144.3%27 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Spirit29c869.97$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6116945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed PARIVISION59c849.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9236450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed PARIVISION60c833$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.859656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed PARIVISION57c805.26$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2615141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Spirit43c730$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.94139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spirit42c714$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Spirit41c709.03$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Spirit42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29439851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit30c684.41$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.322,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked PARIVISION58c600$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.540655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed PARIVISION58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.249565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Spirit42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21034943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed Spirit43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Spirit42c454.76$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1915358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked PARIVISION59c444.74$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3434542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked PARIVISION59c388.26$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2646042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed Spirit43c378.58$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.799654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit42c372.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.191,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed PARIVISION59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9868453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed PARIVISION60c334.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.059268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8a…f2eabacked Spirit41c298.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-74.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Spirit42c266.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa979…abc6backed Spirit40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed PARIVISION58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10514950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Spirit40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Spirit41c246.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Spirit43c227.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION52c217.87$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5897952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked Spirit45c214.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Spirit49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION55c200.08$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.281,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Spirit48c193.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9218342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Spirit43c170.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.373638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked PARIVISION58c169.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.194555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spirit39c165.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6471651%365 W · 351 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed PARIVISION55c164.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7450846.9%238 W · 270 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3015…ac6fbacked Spirit42c164.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked PARIVISION74c133.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.075641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION58c125.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5719342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Spirit43c119.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.462642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed PARIVISION63c119.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4552755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Spirit42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Spirit45c117.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed Spirit43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed PARIVISION59c113.22$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6256454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed PARIVISION58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426266.1%41 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Spirit42c94.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.898633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed PARIVISION59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2218254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Spirit42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed PARIVISION59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7511650%58 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed PARIVISION59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Spirit39c74.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f7…c628backed Spirit42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION53c57.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Spirit43c56.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3911350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Spirit43c54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed PARIVISION57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.636855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed PARIVISION58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7218750.3%94 W · 93 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…7454backed PARIVISION59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked PARIVISION54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2310438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Spirit41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007f…cd86backed Spirit42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick47cpaid-80.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61ad…4f94backed PARIVISION58c47.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Spirit43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.