CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b3ae60371262e3e06d9076e87347a2a49019de3936c37bd7ac3a76a1bd76018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 2,149$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Under | 40c | 898.88$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.52 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 58c | 662$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 54c | 538.21$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 516.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.36 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 53c | 515.45$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.18 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 58c | 490.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 47c | 435.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 430.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Under | 43c | 418.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 53c | 390.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 375.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Over | 46c | 370$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 55c | 207.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 203$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 183.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 55c | 180.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 57c | 177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 48c | 169.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 39c | 160$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 79c | 114.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…12c1backed Over | 47c | 106.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 58c | 96.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…5e0abacked Under | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…d896backed Over | 47c | 87.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 76.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…915bbacked Over | 46c | 64.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Under | 32c | 64.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Over | 58c | 62.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0425backed Under | 54c | 60.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 50c | 60.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 50.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Over | 60c | 50.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 48.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 56c | 37.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Under | 44c | 37.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Over | 57c | 36.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1c68backed Over | 46c | 35.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…dbf1backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 57c | 27.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 47c | 26.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4a…d57ebacked Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Over | 46c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 47c | 23.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.