Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88160f14ea7af39aedf16c6d08c2670d6715a3b5299d1c9af939db066ad6dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalmychataof Yellow Submarine, Kalmychata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kalmychata | 33c | 3,917$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Yellow Submarine | 6c | 3,655$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Kalmychata | 47c | 3,547$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Kalmychata | 56c | 3,136$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.79 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 3,060$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 2,939$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Kalmychata | 31c | 2,697$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.99 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Kalmychata | 12c | 2,168$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.13 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Kalmychata | 58c | 1,959$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.57 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Kalmychata | 52c | 1,324$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Kalmychata | 29c | 1,321$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.93 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,264$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,181$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,118$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,044$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Kalmychata | 54c | 1,026$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.87 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Kalmychata | 38c | 1,019$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kalmychata | 54c | 913.4$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yellow Submarine | 6c | 900$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 899.96$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 894.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kalmychata | 31c | 885.49$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.62 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 865.67$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.75 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kalmychata | 40c | 849.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.75 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kalmychata | 40c | 752.55$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 738.84$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…e8b8backed Kalmychata | 7c | 732.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,314.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 584.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Kalmychata | 25c | 551.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.96 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Kalmychata | 58c | 529.21$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 504.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 484.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…2d34backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 465.18$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Kalmychata | 33c | 462.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +148%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Kalmychata | 56c | 459.51$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Kalmychata | 31c | 446$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Kalmychata | 68c | 406.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…c2f8backed Kalmychata | 50c | 334.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Kalmychata | 58c | 289.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 280.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 266.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…66f0backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 231.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 230.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…10b0backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 217.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…6ea7backed Kalmychata | 23c | 213.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 211.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 207.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 206.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…2b07backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 184.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Kalmychata | 61c | 176.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 175.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Kalmychata | 58c | 174$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kalmychata | 63c | 172.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kalmychata | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Kalmychata | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 153.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kalmychata | 49c | 151.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 150.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Kalmychata | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Yellow Submarine | 14c | 121.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Kalmychata | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 113.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 112.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 106.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Kalmychata | 58c | 106.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kalmychata | 50c | 106.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Kalmychata | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kalmychata | 44c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kalmychata | 68c | 104.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…21e6backed Kalmychata | 39c | 103.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Kalmychata | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 97.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 97.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kalmychata | 53c | 97.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 95.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 94.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 92.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Kalmychata | 56c | 71.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Kalmychata | 33c | 69.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kalmychata | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Kalmychata | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 66.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Kalmychata | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 64.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 58.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Kalmychata | 58c | 57.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Kalmychata | 54c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 52.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 52.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 50.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Kalmychata | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…7b9cbacked Kalmychata | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kalmychata | 24c | 46.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked Kalmychata | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Kalmychata | 44c | 46.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata - Game 2 WinnerKalmychata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.