TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof BIG, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$551,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed BIG53c70,970$37,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,635.121,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed B80c41,890$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.899861.2%60 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked B81c29,087$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8713416.4%22 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked B859c25,073$14,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,791.8376657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked BIG41c24,851$10,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,605.637040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked B852c21,000$11,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,024.1625655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed B841c21,000$8,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,506.2350254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed B851c12,190$6,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,21723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BIG48c10,817$5,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,609.741,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BIG51c10,398$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,146.9182143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BIG54c8,970$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.021,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed BIG41c8,425$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.885347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked B858c8,297$4,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,784.4423245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked B850c8,030$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked B857c7,900$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50325855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed BIG54c7,609$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.7119659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked B849c7,469$3,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,69136145.4%164 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BIG50c7,309$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.9987847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked BIG59c6,783$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.2614947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BIG53c5,891$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.1589546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG62c5,676$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.551,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked BIG41c5,649$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.8565351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed B834c5,639$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.5318338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BIG52c5,297$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.841,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked B831c5,156$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.433844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked B852c4,364$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.915153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BIG64c4,277$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.4439468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BIG50c4,233$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.671,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed BIG53c4,023$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.579443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked B847c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8807454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed B860c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…41f3backed BIG54c3,912$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed B810c3,567$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35096945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked B838c3,389$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.6322230.2%67 W · 155 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked B853c3,101$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.839549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked B840c3,073$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.672055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked B858c3,023$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.3381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG41c2,940$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.462,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5838…8ca6backed B851c2,838$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.145152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed BIG55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.0315155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed B835c2,720$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.2713357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed BIG64c2,700$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97237157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed B856c2,356$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.5846246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG47c2,335$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.535,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked B841c2,303$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.0422449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked BIG43c2,275$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.534139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked B855c2,144$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.056026.7%16 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed B849c2,046$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed B862c2,024$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.51,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed B818c2,003$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a8…a8adbacked B841c1,966$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B837c1,945$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.216,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed B852c1,933$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.392751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed B843c1,918$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2924756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked B849c1,821$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked B850c1,745$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.574452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BIG38c1,722$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.911,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed B859c1,694$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4645639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked B854c1,665$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.695543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed B855c1,659$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.8159841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BIG39c1,643$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.2311439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…f7aabacked BIG42c1,642$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed B847c1,555$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.176136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed B835c1,555$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.7118056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked B839c1,538$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked B847c1,520$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.7133457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B845c1,412$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.081,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked BIG41c1,403$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83335460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed B857c1,392$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked B836c1,390$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004971.4%35 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed BIG42c1,352$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.9821351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed BIG79c1,350$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.088758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed B846c1,345$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.114045%18 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed B842c1,304$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.818324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed BIG42c1,300$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.9687351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed B847c1,268$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028261.3%173 W · 109 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed B845c1,220$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5832346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed B858c1,214$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x836e…95fbbacked B847c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked B835c1,165$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.636945.3%167 W · 202 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed B848c1,140$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54637850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked B849c1,133$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed BIG45c1,106$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.4518442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked B849c1,057$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.128942.7%38 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed B853c1,050$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.584252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed B853c1,042$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.213754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed B848c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009250%46 W · 46 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed BIG47c1,035$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.5542751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed B855c1,027$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6415349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed B847c1,003$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed BIG40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked B853c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53081544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed B81c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked B851c1,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…bdf5backed BIG42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed BIG42c999.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked B840c998.47$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2335643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed B852c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked B852c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked BIG63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.385651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.