TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof B8, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked B830c49,648$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00016344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked BIG70c40,395$28,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,118.4714050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked BIG70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50025655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BIG69c13,556$9,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.3725255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked B828c10,545$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…df09backed B80c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed B826c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BIG74c9,994$7,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.3447047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG72c6,901$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9045,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked B830c6,255$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BIG72c5,790$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.562,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BIG71c5,563$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.3837346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked B827c4,009$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.7536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked B830c3,718$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.524949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed B829c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.9918547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked B831c2,720$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.219546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked B829c2,110$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.894353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed B830c1,562$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.497045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked BIG70c1,513$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.93455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed B830c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked B830c1,070$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32132542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed B830c1,067$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.235739.2%140 W · 217 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed BIG71c1,056$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3425446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed B829c1,042$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4316949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed BIG70c1,016$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7111949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed BIG71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed BIG77c986.07$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5825647.7%122 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B831c821.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked BIG69c730$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x531c…b0a6backed B827c722.39$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked B829c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20329739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0acb…05c2backed BIG71c581$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed B830c569$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.75048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed B829c562.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed BIG71c539$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.312860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG72c530.53$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.62,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BIG68c528.06$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.981,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed BIG71c500.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0326650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked BIG71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked BIG71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked BIG71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked BIG71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed B830c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed B828c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked B827c499.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BIG72c416.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked B829c376.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1989248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed B830c363.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10921141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked B830c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed B830c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BIG76c324.59$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.181,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked B831c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed B830c320$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed B827c301.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.311,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BIG70c294.03$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.332,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed B828c247.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.255538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked B827c247.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.783138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed B830c229.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7913127.5%36 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked B832c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed BIG71c212.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.766126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed B827c203.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed BIG70c203.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9413053.1%69 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed B829c200.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.798248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed B831c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked BIG73c178.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0844675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked B829c151.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x052f…5ef8backed BIG71c148.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e0c…e236backed B828c143.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed BIG71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8524055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1788…aa80backed BIG72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+31.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed BIG72c135.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8410452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f63…90ddbacked B830c134.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.37055.7%39 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed B830c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked B820c125.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259347.3%44 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d8…59dbbacked B832c123.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.514845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked B827c106.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed B829c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked B828c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815246.7%71 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed B830c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032258.7%189 W · 133 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed B830c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309243.5%40 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked B828c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2838157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed BIG72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2835857.8%207 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked B829c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed BIG71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2917150.9%87 W · 84 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa45d…93f1backed B830c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014250.7%72 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked BIG71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0249149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed BIG73c96.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0459049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed B821c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061138.1%233 W · 378 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed BIG79c95.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2035054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked B830c90.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2430545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed BIG71c90.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2712761.4%78 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…0d85backed BIG71c84.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.125151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed B830c84.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2913754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked B830c80.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2719745.7%90 W · 107 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed B830c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked BIG71c71.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked BIG74c70.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.275451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BIG75c62.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked B831c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee0…0da6backed B830c58.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.453138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.