TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9523145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f4…4a97backed Over49c8,110$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.016100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under50c3,245$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c2,345$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.9517643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c2,260$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.8921945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over48c1,653$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.4285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x836e…95fbbacked Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under52c747.92$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9214044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under52c655.58$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c508$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.447,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26018848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under51c499.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9910644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over49c488.38$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0439038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c408$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c377.96$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.761,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over49c306.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3115758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over48c285.42$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.421931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.613844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under44c246.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5910452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Under41c221.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8419152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over47c200.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.517946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10418148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c198.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.332,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Over51c186.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.810261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under18c182.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.260032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over59c169.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c166.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c157.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.562,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed Over47c135.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c127$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.773455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Over48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.212343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.027149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5382146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d64…9190backed Over54c92.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.742759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under48c78.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5826048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x052f…5ef8backed Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c69.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over59c67.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.936952.2%36 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c65.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.941,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under52c64.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.477152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…7bdabacked Over49c63.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2217456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce7…7ed4backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307068.6%48 W · 22 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c59.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.260451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Under50c58.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2935147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde7…89ebbacked Under26c57.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b10…89b6backed Over49c57.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.144161%25 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under52c56.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1935054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under45c52.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6236645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0833153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over46c51.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7928549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…fdaabacked Over78c51.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.147272.2%52 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over52c48.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0518643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a55…3072backed Over60c45.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.134250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9225747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over47c42.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4111944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6713350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…aa31backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Over50c40.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.399056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.856454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1369…565ebacked Over53c37.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.564847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over55c36.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4166436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.337349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fe…1538backed Over49c31.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over56c31.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over48c31.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2222460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c30.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3527753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…3618backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab2…f4fdbacked Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ddb…a7a5backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152556%14 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5932649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Over52c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.526944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x206f…631bbacked Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a17…a9e3backed Under56c26.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…8931backed Under54c24.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.323860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under57c24.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c20.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01fc…6972backed Over49c20.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.573164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…f17cbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.428042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.