CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12787684ec1ae320c734ebcc2e46080540fd1d478ef209d5a586f2676974fa2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Natus Vincere, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 70c | 50,000$34,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,089.1 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 22,235$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.36 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed Spirit | 65c | 18,038$11,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…0176backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 14,635$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spirit | 76c | 13,840$10,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.44 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 13,620$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.12 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 12,250$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 11,514$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.86 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 66c | 11,290$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.6 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 10,314$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.03 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 10,039$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.98 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 70c | 8,927$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.73 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Spirit | 68c | 8,133$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 7,043$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.58 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 6,401$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.25 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 6,104$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.25 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 6,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd756…a817backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 5,901$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 5,638$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.06 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Spirit | 71c | 5,634$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 5,255$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 4,506$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.22 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…4268backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 4,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…6ef7backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 4,333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,271$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.51 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 4,236$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 4,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…2c48backed Spirit | 64c | 4,077$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Spirit | 76c | 4,045$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.1 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 3,999$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 3,754$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,624$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.89 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 3,531$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,519$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.75 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 66c | 3,219$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.06 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,053$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.34 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spirit | 66c | 3,015$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.15 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 80c | 2,584$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,432$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.17 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 67c | 2,323$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,217$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Spirit | 65c | 2,216$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.63 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,214$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.26 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,194$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.48 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,087$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.49 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…ab7dbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,050$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 76c | 1,998$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.05 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,981$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.44 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Spirit | 65c | 1,940$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.59 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 76c | 1,815$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.23 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,800$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,750$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Spirit | 65c | 1,736$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,713$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,680$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,656$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.45 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,652$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.03 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,630$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.72 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Spirit | 71c | 1,603$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.1 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,552$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.79 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Spirit | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.92 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,502$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,501$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,438$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.52 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,364$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,330$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…59a9backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 1,289$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit | 66c | 1,220$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.9 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,200$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,172$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.7 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,128$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.38 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,101$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,067$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.62 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…a3e0backed Spirit | 77c | 1,048$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Spirit | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.39 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 992.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit | 74c | 941.34$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 179 | 67.6%121 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 844.68$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 64c | 834.82$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.54 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 78c | 811.11$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Spirit | 62c | 810$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 795.52$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 785.71$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Spirit | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.