Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b2b830f503952cf76e7ff4ede10838da5064734207252f92624347d2ef27b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Envyof Cloud9, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Cloud9 | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Cloud9 | 40c | 1,285$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Envy | 60c | 1,233$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Cloud9 | 45c | 1,093$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.87 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Envy | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Envy | 56c | 764.8$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.57 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…78a9backed Cloud9 | 50c | 527.02$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Envy | 41c | 521.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Cloud9 | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Envy | 59c | 259.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed Cloud9 | 41c | 235.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Cloud9 | 61c | 160.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Envy | 60c | 113.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Cloud9 | 59c | 107.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Envy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Team Envy | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Envy | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed Cloud9 | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Team Envy | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Team Envy | 34c | 38.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Cloud9 | 66c | 37.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Cloud9 | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Cloud9 | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Cloud9 | 41c | 30.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Envy | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Cloud9 | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Envy | 62c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 WinnerTeam Envy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.